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Prof Graham Medley

Professor of Infectious Disease Modellin

United Kingdom

I joined LSHTM in April 2015. I am an infectious disease modeller, and a former director of CMMID. I work a 3-day week.

My overall interest is the transmission dynamics of infectious disease, and I have published on many different pathogens and hosts - see [Google] or [ORCID] or [ResearcherID] for full lists. I am currently a member of the Neglected Tropical Disease (NTD) modelling consortium.

I have been on an expert group in the Infected Blood Inquiry. From 2017-2023 I was chair of SPI-M (the pandemic preparedness committee in UK Department of Health), and 2020-2022 I chaired the SPI-M-O modelling subgroup of SAGE which provided evidence to the UK COVID-19 response.

Affiliations

Department of Global Health and Development
Faculty of Public Health and Policy

Centres

Centre for Evaluation
Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases
Antimicrobial Resistance Centre

Teaching

I contribute to modules on NTD and Decision Making, and supervise projects.

Research

I am interested in all things infectious. I have projects relating to COVID-19, NTD and HIV.
Research Area
Epidemiology
Mathematical Modelling
Disease and Health Conditions
Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs)
Infectious diseases

Selected Publications

A spatio-temporal approach to short-term prediction of visceral leishmaniasis diagnoses in India.
NIGHTINGALE, ES; CHAPMAN, LA C; Srikantiah, S; Subramanian, S; Jambulingam, P; Bracher, J; CAMERON, MM; MEDLEY, GF;
2020
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES
Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis.
CHAPMAN, LA C; Spencer, SE F; Pollington, TM; Jewell, CP; Mondal, D; Alvar, J; Hollingsworth, TD; CAMERON, MM; Bern, C; MEDLEY, GF;
2020
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS)
Model-based estimates of transmission of respiratory syncytial virus within households.
Kombe, IK; Munywoki, PK; BAGUELIN, M; Nokes, DJ; MEDLEY, GF;
2018
Epidemics
The role of case proximity in transmission of visceral leishmaniasis in a highly endemic village in Bangladesh.
CHAPMAN, LA C; Jewell, CP; Spencer, SE F; Pellis, L; Datta, S; Chowdhury, R; Bern, C; MEDLEY, GF; Hollingsworth, TD;
2018
PLoS neglected tropical diseases
Policy Lessons From Quantitative Modeling of Leprosy.
MEDLEY, GF; Blok, DJ; Crump, RE; Hollingsworth, TD; Galvani, AP; Ndeffo-Mbah, ML; Porco, TC; Richardus, JH;
2018
Clinical infectious diseases
When an emerging disease becomes endemic.
MEDLEY, GF; VASSALL, A;
2017
Science (New York, NY)
Inferring the regional distribution of Visceral Leishmaniasis incidence from data at different spatial scales.
NIGHTINGALE, ES; Subramanian, S; Schwarzer, AR; Chapman, LA C; Jambulingam, P; CAMERON, MM; BRADY, OJ; MEDLEY, GF; Lucas, TC D;
2024
Communications medicine
Factors Associated with Usage of Oral-PrEP among Female Sex Workers in Nairobi, Kenya, Assessed by Self-Report and a Point-of-Care Urine Tenofovir Immunoassay.
Shah, P; Spinelli, M; Irungu, E; Kabuti, R; Ngurukiri, P; Babu, H; Kungu, M; Champions, TM F S; Nyabuto, C; Mahero, A; DEVRIES, K; KYEGOMBE, N; MEDLEY, GF; GAFOS, M; SEELEY, J; WEISS, HA; Kaul, R; Gandhi, M; BEATTIE, TS; Kimani, J;
2024
AIDS and behavior
Potential population-level effects of HIV self-test distribution among key populations in Côte d'Ivoire, Mali, and Senegal: a mathematical modelling analysis.
Silhol, R; Maheu-Giroux, M; Soni, N; Simo Fotso, A; Rouveau, N; Vautier, A; Doumenc-Aïdara, C; Geoffroy, O; N'Guessan, KN; Sidibé, Y; Kabemba, OK; Gueye, PA; Ndeye, PD; Mukandavire, C; Vickerman, P; Keita, A; Ndour, CT; Larmarange, J; Boily, M-C; ATLAS Team,;
2024
The lancet. HIV
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