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Characterizing the spread of arboviruses from detailed outbreak investigations and aggregated surveillance data

Abstract:

Looking at few recent arbovirus outbreaks (chikungunya and Zika), I will review the challenges associated with the analysis of epidemic data and present statistical and modelling approaches to tackle these challenges. I will show how detailed outbreak data can be used to unravel the role of social structures, behaviors and space in the spread of chikungunya in small communities in Bangladesh. I will also present a framework to predict the trajectory of Zika epidemics from the analysis of aggregated surveillance data with a view to inform healthcare planning.

Contact

Contact

Simon Cauchemez (Institut Pasteur): cmmid@seminar